Mapped: Every Country’s Fertility Rate as Births Decline Worldwide

Every Country’s Fertility Rate as Births Decline Worldwide

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Most of the world is no longer having enough children to sustain its population.

This map shows fertility rates for every country using data from the United Nations World Population Prospects 2024 Revision. It highlights a widening global divide: while birth rates have fallen across much of Asia, Europe, and the Americas, many countries in Sub-Saharan Africa continue to see far higher fertility.

As a result, future population growth is becoming increasingly concentrated in a smaller number of regions, with major implications for economies and labor markets.

A World Below Replacement

Today, roughly 71% of the global population lives in countries with fertility rates below replacement level. This marks a major demographic shift, as many of the world’s largest economies transition from population growth to long-term decline.

Major population centers like China (1.02), the United States (1.62), and Brazil (1.60) all fall into this category.

Rank	Country	Population	Fertility Rate
1	Chad	21.0M	5.94
2	Somalia	19.6M	5.91
3	DR Congo	112.8M	5.90
4	Central African Republic	5.5M	5.81
5	Niger	27.9M	5.79
6	Mali	25.2M	5.42
7	Angola	39.0M	4.95
8	Burundi	14.4M	4.68
9	Afghanistan	43.8M	4.66
10	Mozambique	35.6M	4.62
11	Mauritania	5.3M	4.56
12	Mayotte	340K	4.50
13	Tanzania	70.5M	4.47
14	Benin	14.8M	4.42
15	Yemen	41.8M	4.41
16	Nigeria	237.5M	4.30
17	Sudan	51.7M	4.19
18	Cameroon	29.9M	4.19
19	Ivory Coast	32.7M	4.17
20	Togo	9.7M	4.07
21	Uganda	51.4M	4.06
22	Congo	6.5M	4.05
23	Guinea	15.1M	4.04
24	Equatorial Guinea	1.9M	4.04
25	Burkina Faso	24.1M	4.00
26	Zambia	21.9M	3.97
27	Madagascar	32.7M	3.84
28	Ethiopia	135.5M	3.81
29	Gambia	2.8M	3.80
30	Liberia	5.7M	3.79
31	Comoros	880K	3.76
32	Samoa	220K	3.75
33	Senegal	18.9M	3.71
34	South Sudan	12.2M	3.71
35	Guinea-Bissau	2.2M	3.68
36	Zimbabwe	16.9M	3.62
37	Eritrea	3.6M	3.61
38	Sierra Leone	8.8M	3.61
39	Rwanda	14.6M	3.59
40	Gabon	2.6M	3.54
41	Vanuatu	340K	3.53
42	Malawi	22.2M	3.53
43	Sao Tome and Principe	240K	3.53
44	Pakistan	255.2M	3.50
45	Solomon Islands	840K	3.47
46	Uzbekistan	37.0M	3.45
47	Ghana	35.1M	3.30
48	French Guiana	310K	3.29
49	Nauru	10K	3.25
50	Palestine	5.6M	3.19
51	Iraq	47.0M	3.17
52	Namibia	3.1M	3.17
53	Tuvalu	10K	3.14
54	Kenya	57.5M	3.12
55	Kiribati	140K	3.09
56	Tonga	100K	3.07
57	Papua New Guinea	10.8M	3.03
58	Tajikistan	10.8M	2.99
59	Kazakhstan	20.8M	2.95
60	Marshall Islands	40K	2.82
61	Israel	9.5M	2.75
62	Kyrgyzstan	7.3M	2.75
63	Guam	170K	2.71
64	Egypt	118.4M	2.71
65	Micronesia	110K	2.71
66	Eswatini	1.3M	2.68
67	Algeria	47.4M	2.67
68	Botswana	2.6M	2.66
69	Syria	25.6M	2.66
70	Lesotho	2.4M	2.64
71	Saint Martin (French part)	20K	2.63
72	Turkmenistan	7.6M	2.63
73	Haiti	11.9M	2.59
74	Mongolia	3.5M	2.58
75	Djibouti	1.2M	2.58
76	Jordan	11.5M	2.57
77	Tokelau	0.0K	2.57
78	Timor-Leste	1.4M	2.56
79	Cambodia	17.9M	2.51
80	Bolivia	12.6M	2.50
81	Oman	5.5M	2.48
82	Niue	0.0K	2.46
83	Honduras	11.0M	2.45
84	Paraguay	7.0M	2.39
85	Guyana	840K	2.37
86	Laos	7.9M	2.36
87	Saudi Arabia	34.6M	2.29
88	Northern Mariana Islands	40K	2.28
89	Guatemala	18.7M	2.26
90	Libya	7.5M	2.25
91	Fiji	930K	2.25
92	American Samoa	50K	2.25
93	Suriname	640K	2.21
94	Lebanon	5.8M	2.21
95	Faroe Islands	60K	2.20
96	Dominican Republic	11.5M	2.19
97	South Africa	64.8M	2.19
98	Morocco	38.4M	2.18
99	Nicaragua	7.0M	2.18
100	Western Sahara	600K	2.15
101	Réunion	880K	2.13
102	Bangladesh	175.7M	2.11
103	Indonesia	285.7M	2.10
104	Monaco	40K	2.09
105	Panama	4.6M	2.09
106	Seychelles	130K	2.08
107	Myanmar	54.9M	2.08
108	United States Virgin Islands	80K	2.07
109	Venezuela	28.5M	2.06
110	Guadeloupe	370K	2.05
111	Belize	420K	2.01
112	Cook Islands	10K	2.00
113	Martinique	340K	1.97
114	New Caledonia	300K	1.95
115	India	1.46B	1.94
116	Peru	34.6M	1.94
117	Sri Lanka	23.2M	1.94
118	Nepal	29.6M	1.94
119	Greenland	60K	1.91
120	Gibraltar	40K	1.88
121	Vietnam	101.6M	1.88
122	Philippines	116.8M	1.88
123	Mexico	131.9M	1.87
124	Palau	20K	1.86
125	Tunisia	12.3M	1.80
126	Montenegro	630K	1.80
127	Ecuador	18.3M	1.79
128	Georgia	3.8M	1.79
129	Bahrain	1.6M	1.78
130	Dem. People’s Republic of Korea	26.6M	1.77
131	El Salvador	6.4M	1.75
132	St. Vincent & Grenadines	100K	1.75
133	Bulgaria	6.7M	1.74
134	Moldova	3.0M	1.72
135	Armenia	3.0M	1.71
136	Brunei	470K	1.71
137	Romania	18.9M	1.71
138	Barbados	280K	1.70
139	Qatar	3.1M	1.70
140	Falkland Islands	0.0K	1.69
141	Iran	92.4M	1.67
142	Azerbaijan	10.4M	1.66
143	New Zealand	5.2M	1.65
144	St. Helena	10K	1.64
145	Australia	27.0M	1.64
146	France	66.7M	1.64
147	United States	347.3M	1.62
148	Turkey	87.7M	1.62
149	Colombia	53.4M	1.62
150	Aruba	110K	1.61
151	Brazil	212.8M	1.60
152	Ireland	5.3M	1.60
153	Slovenia	2.1M	1.58
154	Antigua and Barbuda	90K	1.58
155	Slovakia	5.5M	1.57
156	Maldives	530K	1.55
157	Liechtenstein	40K	1.54
158	United Kingdom	69.5M	1.54
159	Isle of Man	80K	1.53
160	Malaysia	36.0M	1.53
161	Kosovo	1.7M	1.53
162	Trinidad and Tobago	1.5M	1.52
163	Denmark	6.0M	1.52
164	Portugal	10.4M	1.52
165	Cayman Islands	80K	1.51
166	St. Kitts & Nevis	50K	1.51
167	Argentina	45.9M	1.50
168	Serbia	6.7M	1.50
169	Iceland	400K	1.50
170	Bosnia and Herzegovina	3.1M	1.50
171	Kuwait	5.0M	1.50
172	Cape Verde	530K	1.50
173	Hungary	9.6M	1.50
174	French Polynesia	280K	1.48
175	Croatia	3.9M	1.47
176	Dominica	70K	1.47
177	North Macedonia	1.8M	1.47
178	Czechia	10.6M	1.47
179	Russia	144.0M	1.46
180	Grenada	120K	1.46
181	Germany	84.1M	1.46
182	Cuba	10.9M	1.45
183	Bonaire	30K	1.45
184	Montserrat	0.0K	1.45
185	Switzerland	9.0M	1.44
186	Turks and Caicos Islands	50K	1.44
187	Netherlands	18.4M	1.44
188	Sweden	10.7M	1.44
189	Bhutan	800K	1.44
190	Sint Maarten	40K	1.43
191	Norway	5.6M	1.42
192	Bermuda	60K	1.41
193	Luxembourg	680K	1.40
194	Wallis & Futuna	10K	1.40
195	Belgium	11.8M	1.39
196	Uruguay	3.4M	1.39
197	Jersey	100K	1.38
198	St. Lucia	180K	1.38
199	Estonia	1.3M	1.37
200	Guernsey	60K	1.37
201	Cyprus	1.4M	1.37
202	Bahamas	400K	1.36
203	Anguilla	10K	1.35
204	Latvia	1.9M	1.35
205	Greece	9.9M	1.34
206	Jamaica	2.8M	1.34
207	Canada	40.1M	1.33
208	Albania	2.8M	1.33
209	Austria	9.1M	1.33
210	Costa Rica	5.2M	1.31
211	Poland	38.1M	1.31
212	Finland	5.6M	1.30
213	Saint Pierre and Miquelon	10K	1.28
214	Spain	47.9M	1.23
215	Japan	123.1M	1.23
216	Belarus	9.0M	1.22
217	Lithuania	2.8M	1.22
218	Italy	59.1M	1.21
219	Mauritius	1.3M	1.21
220	United Arab Emirates	11.3M	1.21
221	Thailand	71.6M	1.19
222	San Marino	30K	1.16
223	Chile	19.9M	1.13
224	Malta	550K	1.11
225	Andorra	80K	1.10
226	Curacao	190K	1.07
227	British Virgin Islands	40K	1.06
228	China	1.42B	1.02
229	Ukraine	39.0M	1.00
230	Singapore	5.9M	0.96
231	Puerto Rico	3.2M	0.94
232	Taiwan	23.1M	0.86
233	St. Barthélemy	10K	0.83
234	South Korea	51.7M	0.75
235	Hong Kong	7.4M	0.74
236	Macao	720K	0.69

China’s Historic Decline

With a fertility rate of just 1.02, China is now among the lowest in the world.

This sharp decline is largely a legacy of the country’s one-child policy, which was in place from 1980 to 2015. Despite policy reversals and financial incentives, fertility has remained depressed. Notably, no country that has fallen to such low levels has successfully returned to replacement rates.

Africa Drives Future Growth

While most countries are experiencing declining birth rates, much of Sub-Saharan Africa remains on a very different trajectory.

Fertility rates above 4.0 are still common, supporting rapid population growth across the region.

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• Source: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/mapped-every-countrys-fertility-rate-births-decline/