The World’s Highest Annual Births by Country (2025 vs. 2050)
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Key Takeaways
- The global fertility rate hit an all-time low of 2.3 births per woman in 2024, barely above the replacement level of 2.1.
- India is projected to see 23.1 million births in 2025, falling to 19 million by 2050.
About 3.7 million babies will be born in the U.S. this year, the eighth-highest total worldwide.
While America leads in annual births by country across the rich world, it is modest compared to emerging giants. India is set to record more than six times as many births, and Nigeria twice as many.
This graphic shows the top countries by annual birth projections, based on data from the UN’s World Population Prospects 2024 via Our World in Data.
Annual Births by Country Forecasts
Here is where the most babes will be born this year and by mid-century:
| Rank | Country | Number of Births 2025P |
Rank | Country | Number of Births 2050P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  India |
23.1M | 1 | India |
19.0M |
| 2 |  China |
8.7M | 2 |  Nigeria |
8.1M |
| 3 | Nigeria |
7.6M | 3 |  Pakistan |
7.5M |
| 4 | Pakistan |
6.9M | 4 | China |
7.4M |
| 5 |  DRC |
4.6M | 5 | DRC |
6.3M |
| 6 |  Indonesia |
4.4M | 6 |  Ethiopia |
4.8M |
| 7 | Ethiopia |
4.2M | 7 | Indonesia |
3.9M |
| 8 |  United States |
3.7M | 8 | United States |
3.8M |
| 9 |  Bangladesh |
3.4M | 9 |  Tanzania |
3.3M |
| 10 |  Brazil |
2.5M | 10 | Bangladesh |
2.7M |
| 11 |  Egypt |
2.5M | 11 | Egypt |
2.6M |
| 12 | Tanzania |
2.4M | 12 |  Angola |
2.0M |
| 13 |  Mexico |
2.0M | 13 | Brazil |
2.0M |
| 14 |  Philippines |
1.9M | 14 |  Sudan |
2.0M |
| 15 |  Uganda |
1.7M | 15 | Uganda |
1.9M |
| 16 | Sudan |
1.7M | 16 |  Afghanistan |
1.8M |
| 17 |  Kenya |
1.5M | 17 | Mexico |
1.6M |
| 18 | Afghanistan |
1.5M | 18 | Philippines |
1.6M |
| 19 | Angola |
1.4M | 19 | Kenya |
1.6M |
| 20 |  Yemen |
1.4M | 20 | Yemen |
1.6M |
With 23.1 million births, India is forecast to lead globally in 2025.
While the country is expected to drive 17% of all births worldwide, this share is projected to fall to 14% by 2050. Despite its relatively young population, fertility rates are now below replacement levels.
China follows next with a projected 8.7 million births in 2025. However, it is forecast to fall to fourth globally in 25 years. With one of the world’s lowest fertility rates, it is set to be surpassed by both Nigeria and Pakistan.
When it comes to the U.S., births are projected to shift modestly from 3.7 million in 2025 to 3.8 million in 2050.
While declining fertility was often linked to rising incomes and women prioritizing careers, recent evidence points to a reversal. In fact, higher-income families in America have been having more children compared to lower-income families.
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To learn more about this topic, check out this graphic on fertility rates in Western-aligned countries.
