Mapped: The U.S. States Hit Hardest by Canada’s Tariffs

Mapped: The U.S. States Hit Hardest by Canada’s Tariffs

Trade talks between the U.S. and Canada have broken down, with Canada responding to broad U.S. duties with dollar-for-dollar tariffs on key American products.

This map shows the value of exports in each U.S. state covered by Canadian counter-tariffs, using the latest data from BBC for September 2026 from Scotiabank and Statistics Canada. Figures are in U.S. dollars.

States are shaded according to the value of their exports to Canada that are subject to Canadian duties.

Tariff Blues in the Midwest

The Great Lakes region stands out on the map, reflecting its central role in the roughly $870 billion bilateral trading relationship.

Ohio and Illinois have more exports covered by Canadian tariffs than any other states, at $2.3 billion and $2.1 billion, respectively. They are followed by Pennsylvania at $1.8 billion.

The table below lists each state alongside the value of its exports covered by the new Canadian tariffs.

The state-level differences partly reflect the specific goods and sectors Canada has chosen to target.

For example, new duties on dairy products such as milk and cheese are particularly relevant for Wisconsin, which has $1.4 billion in exports covered by Canadian tariffs and is popularly nicknamed “America’s Dairyland.” Canadian tariffs are now 25% on cheese and curd and 50% on milk and cream.

Swing States in the Crosshairs

The prominence of states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin is not entirely coincidental. Canada’s latest round of counter-tariffs is focused on swing states and other politically important battlegrounds in an effort to pressure the U.S. to resume trade talks. Canadian Industry Minister Melanie Joly has confirmed this strategy.

This comes ahead of the U.S. midterm elections in November, as President Donald Trump’s Republican Party seeks to defend its congressional majority amid rising inflation and an unpopular war with Iran.

Canada has used this approach before. During past trade disputes with the first Trump administration, Ottawa imposed tariffs targeting products including aluminum and steel in an effort to influence U.S. trade policy. Indiana, which has $1.3 billion in exports covered by the current tariffs, is the country’s top steelmaking state.

The States Facing Canadian Tariffs

Canada’s counter-tariffs affect both large and small states. California, New York, and Texas, the nation’s three largest states by population, each have more than $1 billion in exports covered by Canadian duties.

North Dakota, for example, currently has just $38 million in exports covered by Canadian tariffs. However, the state sends more than three-quarters of its exports to Canada, leaving it particularly vulnerable if the trade dispute escalates.

The U.S. has already announced additional 50% tariffs on critical Canadian industries beginning in January 2027, raising the possibility of further Canadian retaliation.

Learn More on the Voronoi App

To see the Canadian side of the equation, check out Charted: The United States Dominates Canada’s Trade on Voronoi.

• Source: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/mapped-the-states-hit-by-canadas-counter-tariffs/