Mapped: Fertility Rates in North and South America in 2025
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Key Takeaways
- The U.S., Canada and Mexico are all below the 2.1 population replacement fertility rate
- Persistently low fertility rates below this threshold can result in population declines
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In this map, we list the current fertility rate of each country in North and South America. Countries are also shaded by whether its fertility rate is above or below the population replacement rate (2.1).
Data for this graphic is from the UN World Population Prospects’ 2025 estimates and can be viewed in the table below. Only sovereign countries are included.
Country | ISO Code | Fertility Rate 2025 |
---|---|---|
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CHL | 1.1 |
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CRI | 1.3 |
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CAN | 1.3 |
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JAM | 1.3 |
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BHS | 1.4 |
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LCA | 1.4 |
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URY | 1.4 |
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CUB | 1.5 |
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GRD | 1.5 |
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DMA | 1.5 |
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ARG | 1.5 |
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KNA | 1.5 |
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TTO | 1.5 |
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ATG | 1.6 |
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BRA | 1.6 |
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COL | 1.6 |
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USA | 1.6 |
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BRB | 1.7 |
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VCT | 1.7 |
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SLV | 1.8 |
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ECU | 1.8 |
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MEX | 1.9 |
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PER | 1.9 |
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BLZ | 2.0 |
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VEN | 2.1 |
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PAN | 2.1 |
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NIC | 2.2 |
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DOM | 2.2 |
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SUR | 2.2 |
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GTM | 2.3 |
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GUY | 2.4 |
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PRY | 2.4 |
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HND | 2.5 |
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BOL | 2.5 |
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HTI | 2.6 |
The Lowdown on Fertility Rates
The fertility rate measures the average number of children a woman in a specific area will have over the course of her lifetime.
In fact, 2.1 is a key threshold. At this level, the area’s population remains self-sustaining Above it, populations grow. Below it, populations decline.
As seen from the map, most of the Americas, including its largest countries, the U.S., Brazil, Canada, and Mexico, are all below the 2.1 threshold.
So, How Are the U.S., Canada, and Mexico Still Growing?
There’s a time factor involved with the effects of fertility rates. Population decline usually occurs after a lag, usually three decades of below-replacement fertility rates.
This can be seen in Europe, whose population peaked in 2021, after persistently low rates since the 1970s.
Unlike Europe, the U.S. fertility rate has only consistently stayed below 2.1 since the mid 2000s.
However, Canada and Mexico have had below-replacement rates for decades. In their case (and with the U.S.) immigration becomes critical for sustaining population growth.
Learn More on the Voronoi App 
Wondering what this same map looks like for Europe? Check out: Mapped: European Fertility Rates by Country in 2025 for a quick overview.
The post Mapped: Fertility Rates in North and South America appeared first on Visual Capitalist.